这篇文章可能不会告诉你任何你在今年观看金州勇士队比赛时还不知道的事情。在我们继续之前，让我们把它弄掉。我不会透露任何消息，也不会放弃一些有争议的观点，比如“詹姆斯·怀斯曼明年应该开始工作”或者“斯蒂芬·库里真的很糟糕”
我只是告诉你一些你可能很久以前就已经内化的东西：乔丹·普尔在职业生涯的第二年迈出了巨大的一步。
在G联赛泡沫期的帮助下，普尔从球迷们抱怨的一个球员变成了球队轮换的核心。虽然人们很容易相信他的短裤能带来这样的发展，但事实是他只是在各个领域都有了发展。
让我们仔细看看。
射击
普尔的转变都是从投篮开始的。当勇士队在2019年NBA选秀中对普尔使用28号选秀权时，他们期待得到一名高质量的射手。如果他也能做其他事情，那就太棒了——但射击是他简历上列出的第一项技能。
作为一个菜鸟，他做的恰恰相反。他对一些技能印象深刻，比如他的游戏技巧，但似乎买不到一个水桶，尤其是从深水区。
普尔在新秀赛季的投篮命中率仅为27.9%，未能达到他上半年的位置绰号。不过，这并没有阻止他，因为他每100件物品中就有10.0次尝试，尽管它们在每个方向都叮当作响。
在2020-21年间，他不断开火。事实上，他开始射击，甚至更多，增加了他的尝试次数，以13.1每100财产。突然，他们开始下跌，普尔今年年底从深部投篮命中率为35.1%。这不是一个能让他获得Splash Bros秘密休息室VIP通行证的数字，但这是一个相当于进攻价值的数字。
可以预见的是，不仅仅是他的三分球命中率有所提高。普尔的长距离跳投率从29.3%上升到38.5%，而他的10-16英尺跳投率从34.9%上升到41.9%。就连他的罚球率也有了明显的提高，从新秀时的79.8%提高到今年的88.2%。
完成
普尔进步的不仅仅是跳投，而是任何一种投篮。在2019-20赛季他在篮筐的投篮命中率达到52.3%之后，普尔今年以74.3%的惊人命中率结束了比赛。他在距离篮圈3到10英尺的投篮命中率为46.2%，高于去年的42.6%。
其中一部分原因是在一支更好的球队踢球，以及得益于斯蒂芬·库里的重力和传球。但这很大程度上是由于防守队员突破能力的提高，以及对如何判罚和切入的更好理解。
镜头选择
普尔在进攻上的转变很大程度上来自于射门能力的提高。但其中一部分来自于一种更好的能力，即识别哪些镜头需要拍摄。
三分球占普尔本赛季投篮命中率的58.2%，高于新秀时的52.8%。他的得分能力也很高，他每100次罚球命中率从4.5次提高到5.7次。罚球率高于联盟平均水平，这对一个21岁的年轻人来说是相当令人鼓舞的，他似乎在外围最舒服。
镜头选择不仅仅是要拍好镜头；这也是关于消除坏镜头。一年后，两个超过10英尺的三分球代表了他24.9%的尝试，普尔将这个数字削减到14.6%。
司令塔
表面上看，普尔今年的表现并没有大的飞跃。他的助攻率实际上略有下降，从15.8%降至15.4%。但这在欢迎咖喱重返市场后是意料之中的，最令人鼓舞的是换手率大幅下降，从11.8%降至8.8%。
普尔对进攻体系的理解也有所提高；今年，他让右路的阅读频率大大提高，即使没有助攻，他也很高兴地做出了聪明的传球。史蒂夫·科尔坚持称普尔为组合后卫，而不是得分后卫或得分后卫，很明显，科尔相信这名年轻人是一名中场组织者——不仅仅是在第二个单位，在首发球员也一样。
防守
最后我们谈到了防守，这很可能是决定普尔在职业生涯后期是一名出色的替补球员还是一名高质量的先发球员的技术。很难用数据来代表防守的转变——普尔的抢断率和盖帽率和他的新秀赛季几乎是一样的，但话说回来，这些都不是很好的数据。
所以我们先来看看这些数据：他今年在防守上看起来像个斗士。别误以为他看起来不错——他还没到那一步，说实话，只有很少21岁的人能做到。但他让他的对手发挥了作用，他表现出了一些良好的本能，他最终在德雷蒙德·格林的惊愕中接受了相对较少的几次。
在这方面还有很长的路要走，但是普尔做了你想从一个二年级球员身上得到的：表现出进步，给了你希望。
指标
一体化指标并不是篮球分析的全部，但它们确实提供了价值。他们一致认为普尔今年的表现明显好于去年。他的勒布朗从-3.75提高到-2.34。他的转速从-1.90跳到+1.62。他的猛禽从-4.74增加到-3.79。他的心跳从-2.07转为-1.72。他的BPM从-6.60跃升到-0.60。
是的，普尔除了其中一个指标外，其他指标都是负面的。其中一部分是因为他还没有完全恢复，另一部分是因为他上半赛季的表现不如下半赛季。现在还没有人认为普尔是一个伟大的球员，只是他在比赛的各个方面都有了很大的进步。
他明年才22岁，你预计22岁的年轻人在他们的第三个赛季会有很大的进步，所以看来明年的版本会是一个公平的赌注更好。
但那是另一天的文章。
这篇文章是根据我们的指导原则发表的。
原标题：
Jordan Poole got better in every way
原文：
This article probably isn’t going to tell you anything that you didn’t already know from watching Golden State Warriors games this year. Let’s get that out of the way before we move on. I’m not breaking any news, and I’m not dropping some controversial opinion like “James Wiseman should be starting next year” or “Steph Curry is bad, actually.”
I’m just telling you something that you probably internalized a long time ago: Jordan Poole took a gigantic step forward in his second year as a pro.
Aided by a stint in the G League bubble, Poole went from a player that the fanbase complained about having drafted, to a core part of the team’s rotation. And while it’s tempting to credit his short shorts for that evolution, the reality is that he simply grew his game in every area.
Let’s look closer.
Shooting
Poole’s transformation all starts with shooting. When the Warriors used the No. 28 pick in the 2019 NBA Draft on Poole, they anticipated getting a high-quality shooter. If he could do other things too, then great — but shooting was the first skill listed on his resume.
He did the opposite as a rookie. He impressed with some skills — such as his playmaking — but couldn’t seem to buy a bucket, especially from deep.
Poole finished his rookie year shooting just 27.9% from deep, failing to live up to the first half of his positional moniker. It didn’t deter him though, as he fired off 10.0 attempts per 100 possessions, even as they clanked off the rim in every direction.
In 2020-21 he kept firing away. In fact, he started firing away even more, upping his number of attempts to 13.1 per 100 possessions. Suddenly they started to fall, and Poole ended the year shooting 35.1% from deep. That’s not a number that’s going to earn him a VIP pass to the Splash Bros secret lounge, but it is a number that equates to offensive value.
Predictably, it wasn’t just his three-point shooting that improved. Poole’s long two percentage jumped from 29.3% to 38.5%, while his 10-16 foot jumper percentage leaped from 34.9% to 41.9%. Even his free throw percentage saw marked improvement, elevating from 79.8% as a rookie to 88.2% this year.
Finishing
It wasn’t just jump shooting that improved for Poole — it was any kind of shooting. After making 52.3% of his shots at the rim in 2019-20, Poole finished at a spectacular clip of 74.3% this year. He converted at a rate of 46.2% on shots 3 to 10 feet from the rim, up from 42.6% the year prior.
Some of that was due to playing on a better team, and benefitting from the gravity — and passes — of Steph Curry. But much of it was due to an increased ability to break down defenders, and a better understanding of how to read the floor and cut.
Shot selection
Much of Poole’s offensive transformation came simply from a better ability to make shots. But some of it came from a better ability to identify which shots to take.
Threes represented 58.2% of the shots that Poole took this season, up from 52.8% as a rookie. His ability to get to the line spiked as well, as he attempted 5.7 free throws per 100 possessions, up from 4.5. That free throw rate was above league average, which is pretty encouraging for a 21-year old who seems most comfortable on the perimeter.
Shot selection isn’t just about taking good shots; it’s also about eliminating bad shots. A year after two-pointers that were longer than 10 feet represented 24.9% of his attempts, Poole trimmed that number to 14.6%.
Playmaking
On the surface, Poole’s playmaking didn’t take a big leap this year. His assist rate actually dropped slightly, from 15.8% to 15.4%. But that’s to be expected after welcoming Curry back into the fold, and what was most encouraging was the large dip in turnover rate, from 11.8% to 8.8%.
Poole also showed an increased understanding of the offensive system; he made the right read far more frequently this year, and happily made the smart pass even when it didn’t result in an assist. Steve Kerr insisted on calling Poole a combo guard rather than a point or shooting guard, and it became clear that Kerr trusts the youngster to be a playmaker — not just with the second unit, but with the starters as well.
Defense
Finally we arrive at defense, which very well may be the skill that determines whether Poole will be a nice bench player or a high quality starter later in his career. It’s hard to use stats to represent a defensive shift — Poole’s steal and block rates were virtually identical to his rookie year, but then again, those aren’t exactly good stats anyway.
So we’ll scrap the stats for a minute and just go with this: he looked like a fighter on defense this year. Don’t mistake that for looking good — he’s not there yet and, truthfully, very few 21 year olds are. But he made his opponents work, and he showed some good instincts, and he ended up on the receiving end of Draymond Green’s consternation a relatively few times.
There’s a long way to go on that end, but Poole did exactly what you want from a second-year player: showed improvement, and gave you hope.
The metrics
All-in-one metrics aren’t the be-all, end-all of basketball analysis, but they do provide value. And they unanimously agree that Poole was significantly better this year than last. His LEBRON improved from -3.75 to -2.34. His RPM jumped from -1.90 to +1.62. His RAPTOR increased from -4.74 to -3.79. His RAPM went from -2.07 to -1.72. And his BPM leaped from -6.60 to -0.60.
Yes, Poole still graded out negatively on all but one of those metrics. Some of that is due to the fact that he was still rather raw, and some of it was due to the fact that his first half of the season was not nearly as good as his second half. No one’s arguing that Poole is a great player yet — just that he is dramatically improved, in every facet of the game.
He’ll only be 22 next year, and you expect 22 year olds in their third season to take big steps forward, so it seems likely that next year’s version of him will be a fair bet better.
But that’s an article for a different day.
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